EUR/CAD is chillin’ above its rising pattern line simply because the eurozone PMIs are being launched.
Will assist nonetheless maintain?
Or will Canada’s retail gross sales launch spur a pattern reversal?
Earlier than shifting on, ICYMI, yesterday’s watchlist checked out USD/JPY’s triangle resistance check after the BOJ resolution. You’ll want to take a look at if it’s nonetheless a legitimate play!
And now for the headlines that rocked the markets within the final buying and selling periods:
Contemporary Market Headlines & Financial Information:
JPY volatility spikes on MoF’s foreign money intervention
SNB hiked rates of interest by 0.75% from -0.25% to +0.50%
BOE hiked rates of interest by 0.50% as anticipated
U.S. preliminary jobless claims rose from 208K to 213K vs. 220K forecast
Eurozone client confidence index sank from -25 to -29 vs. -26 forecast
U.S. CB main index chalked up 0.3% dip, following 0.5% decline
Australian flash manufacturing PMI improved from 53.8 to 53.9
Australian flash companies PMI up from 50.2 to 50.4
U.Ok. GfK client confidence index down from -44 to -49 vs. -42 forecast
French flash companies PMI up from 51.2 to 53.0 vs. 50.5 forecast
French flash manufacturing PMI down from 50.6 to 47.8 vs. 49.8 consensus
U.Ok. flash manufacturing and companies PMIs at 9:00 pm GMT
Canadian retail gross sales at 12:30 pm GMT
U.S. flash manufacturing and companies PMIs at 1:45 pm GMT
SNB head Jordan’s testimony at 3:30 pm GMT
Fed Chairperson Powell’s speech at 6:00 pm GMT
Use our new Foreign money Warmth Map to shortly see a visible overview of the foreign exchange market’s worth motion! 🔥 🗺️
What to Watch: EUR/CAD
Are we about to see a reversal on this pair quickly?
EUR/CAD is testing its short-term rising pattern line proper across the launch of PMI readings from Germany and France, and it seems to be like a breakdown is due.
The precise figures turned out largely weaker than anticipated, with solely the French companies PMI popping out higher than anticipated.
This slowdown in enterprise exercise would possibly give the ECB sufficient cause to pause from its coverage tightening, which could convey bearish vibes for the shared foreign money.
Canada’s upcoming retail gross sales launch may add to this pair’s volatility within the subsequent buying and selling session, as analysts count on a pointy drop in client spending. Weaker than anticipated figures would possibly even permit the EUR/CAD uptrend to renew.
For now, worth is discovering some assist on the 61.8% Fib that’s proper in step with the pattern line and an space of curiosity. If it holds, the pair may make its means again as much as the swing excessive at 1.3335 subsequent.
The 100 SMA is above the 200 SMA to verify that the climb is extra more likely to resume than to reverse. Additionally, Stochastic is inching near the oversold area to point exhaustion amongst sellers.
Don’t overlook to take a look at the common EUR/CAD volatility when setting your exit ranges!